Analytics
Resolved No on 27 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 89.6%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 122 daily closes on record from 3 Feb 2026 to 27 Jun 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.2% on 29 Apr 2026 and the lowest 1.7% on 12 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points up, to 37.3% on 16 Jun 2026. $29.3K traded over the market's life.
35 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 28, 7:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 122 points, 3 Feb 2026 – 27 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 41.5% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | 10.3% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Cap's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Cap (https://x.com/capmoney_) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/cap-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch
| Yes |
| 494.98 |
| MukMuk11 | Yes | 425.15 |
| Anon234 | Yes | 307.57 |
| puposalbani | Yes | 303 |
| prefox28 | Yes | 234.14 |
| hellodi | Yes | 200 |
| kangkang123 | Yes | 158.59 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
