Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.6%. Yes opened at 84.5% on 19 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 109 daily closes on record from 19 Dec 2025 to 1 May 2026 (25 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 26% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 59.5% on 7 Feb 2026. $5.66M traded over the market's life.
638 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 19 Dec 2025 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Dec 2025 | 84.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 99.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tomsir | No | 145.94K |
| ElerKsan | No | 44.68K |
| Haraqqqiri-gey | No | 34.79K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of MegaETH's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If MegaETH doesn't launch a token by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/megaeth-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
| No |
| 30.15K |
| fakerfan | No | 13.32K |
| aberfort-dumbldor | No | 12.65K |
| uguaga | No | 10.4K |
| ZaGenusika | No | 10K |
| norbertbodziony | Yes | 9.19K |
| sansui1 | No | 8.7K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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