Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 11% on 3 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 159 daily closes on record from 3 Jan 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 11% on 3 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jul 2026. $1.36M traded over the market's life.
122 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 159 points, 3 Jan 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | 11.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| simplystupid188 | Yes | 1.38K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 985.79 |
| Mustwiner | Yes | 723.33 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-impeached-by-june-30
New to prediction markets?
| Cobalt Voyager 1733 | Yes | 364.36 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 299.93 |
| Coral Comet A2E7 | Yes | 250 |
| vicdan | Yes | 247.58 |
| jeli8 | Yes | 206.24 |
| Silver-Alpenglow | No | 200 |
| Jade Atlas 67F0 | Yes | 199.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
