Analytics
Yes is at 3.1%, down 4.9 points from 8% when the market opened on 2 Jul 2026.
Across the 114 daily closes on record from 2 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 19 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 28 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 3%; a month before, 2.9%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 15% on 22 Jul 2026.
$325.05 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.2K, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 44 trades, $1.53 bought Yes and $116.09 bought No.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 48 shares; the largest No position is Wee-Love with 61.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 66 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 3:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 114 points, 2 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2026 | 8.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wee-Love | No | 61.15 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 47.8 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 17 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/lai-ching-te-impeached-by-june-30
| hjhjhjhjhjhjhj |
| Yes |
| 14.91 |
| .9487 | No | 10.12 |
| Guanaco284 | No | 7.52 |
| VenomR1der99X | No | 4.37 |
| 74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7. | Yes | 3.23 |
| Quinra91L | No | 3.23 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 2.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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