Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro guilty of all counts? | Yes | 11.56 | $0.346 | $2.31 | -$1.69 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 4.08 |
| $0.490 |
| $0.84 |
| -$1.16 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | 7.32 | $0.137 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 1.72 |
| $0.580 |
| $1 |
| Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.137 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Luigi Mangione smile during next court appearance?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.060 | $0.43 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.070 | $0.88 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Luigi Mangione mistrial?Yes | sell | 15.82 | $0.106 | $1.68 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.090 | $0.37 | Sep 14, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.180 | $0.5 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes | sell | 39.42 | $0.009 | $0.35 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?Yes | sell | 1.81 | $0.350 | $0.63 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.140 | $0.48 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Kanye West arrested in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.091 | $0.65 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Harry & Meghan divorce in 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Leonardo DiCaprio engaged in 2025?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?No | sell | 1.75 | $0.830 | $1.45 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 White girlfriend who shot Black bf guilty?Yes | sell | 4.13 | $0.011 | $0.05 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 Will anyone say "Professional" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?Yes | sell | 1.51 | $0.610 | $0.92 | Aug 23, 2025 |
 IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 10-year Treasury yield >4.3% Friday?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during events with South Korean president on August 25?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Japan" during events with South Korean president on August 25?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Will Diddy be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.906 | $0.95 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Justin Bieber rehab in 2025?Yes | sell | 14.81 | $0.130 | $1.93 | Aug 20, 2025 |
 Selena Gomez married in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.345 | $3.14 | Aug 20, 2025 |