Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 1 Jul 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 27.5% on 29 May 2026. $39.25K traded over the market's life.
43 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 8.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| unocorn | Yes | 10.92K |
| Extroverted-Fantasy | Yes | 1.76K |
| Golden Vector A3C9 | Yes | 445.51 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-claude-score-on-humanitys-last-exam-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 161.16 |
| Warm-Boatload | Yes | 153.87 |
| Masterm1nd | No | 110.91 |
| Jade Summit B444 | Yes | 102 |
| MMleosam | Yes | 88.34 |
| Flawed-Instruction | Yes | 88.11 |
| Admirable-Petitioner-Spite | Yes | 52.63 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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