Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.880 | $70.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 317 |
| $0.686 |
| $217.53 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.222 | $111 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 5.5K | $0.086 | $470.93 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 29, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.485 | $48.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 5.21K | $0.002 | $11.88 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1.5K | $0.081 | $120.98 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves | sell | 358.06 | $0.999 | $357.7 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Valorant: G2 Esports vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega100 Thieves | buy | 358.06 | $0.936 | $335 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | sell | 112.35 | $0.990 | $111.23 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETDown | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 197.05 | $0.507 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 193.42 | $0.517 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 200.15 | $0.500 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 201.1 | $0.497 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 206.33 | $0.485 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETUp | buy | 207.37 | $0.482 | $100 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.710 | $958.5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 710.02 | $0.064 | $45.43 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.739 | $2.22K | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 496.18 | $0.720 | $357.25 | Jul 10, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.011 | $11.3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.940 | $23.5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 150.79 | $0.819 | $123.57 | Jul 2, 2026 |
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 143.06 | $0.699 | $99.94 | Jul 2, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 221.6 | $0.659 | $146.03 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.300 | $62.5 | Jun 10, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 129.52 | $0.454 | $58.77 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 73.13 | $0.335 | $24.5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 261.21 | $0.270 | $70.53 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 7.1 | $0.260 | $1.85 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?Yes | buy | 650 | $0.480 | $312 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.490 | $49 | Jun 9, 2026 |