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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes | 454.55 | $0.220 | $138.64 | +$38.64 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | sell | 61.21 | $0.761 | $46.6 | Jun 11, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 102.28 |
| $0.244 |
| $60.5 |
| +$35.5 |
 Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | OpenAI | 476.19 | $0.210 | $42.86 | -$57.14 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? | No | 37.74 | $0.530 | $32.64 | +$12.64 |
 Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.090 | $30.56 | -$19.44 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 491.8 | $0.061 | $16.97 | -$13.03 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 580.3 | $0.034 | $10.45 | -$9.55 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 99.99 | $0.167 | $7.3 | -$9.4 |
 Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? | OpenAI | 136.73 | $0.219 | $4.99 | -$25.01 |
| buy |
| 193.19 |
| $0.155 |
| $30 |
| Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 139.77 | $0.670 | $93.65 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 63.29 | $0.158 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 62.89 | $0.159 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | sell | 559.08 | $0.679 | $379.51 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No | buy | 37.74 | $0.530 | $20 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI | buy | 136.73 | $0.219 | $30 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.260 | $51.92 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 102.28 | $0.244 | $25 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 580.3 | $0.034 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 5.2 | $0.810 | $4.21 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 32.8 | $0.810 | $26.57 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 184.55 | $0.271 | $50 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 83.06 | $0.459 | $38.12 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.460 | $2.35 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.400 | $0.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.400 | $0.4 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.360 | $0.36 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1510 and 1520?Yes | buy | 207.1 | $0.097 | $20 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?Yes | buy | 61.21 | $0.490 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 111.41 | $0.269 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | sell | 1 | $0.370 | $0.37 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 491.8 | $0.061 | $30 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.480 | $24 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 112.1 | $0.217 | $24.31 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 233.27 | $0.857 | $200 | May 29, 2026 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.090 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?No | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will any other model have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 270.48 | $0.185 | $50 | May 29, 2026 |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?OpenAI | buy | 476.19 | $0.210 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 431.67 | $0.232 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 454.55 | $0.220 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 88.11 | $0.227 | $20 | May 29, 2026 |
| Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 348.95 | $0.287 | $100 | May 29, 2026 |
 Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?No | sell | 162.61 | $0.760 | $123.58 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 2.05K | $0.015 | $30 | May 19, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes | sell | 117.31 | $0.009 | $1.06 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 678.97 | $0.040 | $27.26 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 117.32 | $0.085 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Yes | buy | 62.67 | $0.160 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 466.78 | $0.064 | $30 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 74.12 | $0.270 | $20 | May 19, 2026 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?No | buy | 75.76 | $0.132 | $10 | May 19, 2026 |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 68.29 | $0.439 | $30 | May 19, 2026 |