Latest trade
Jun 25, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:21 AM UTC.
Analytics
Ignorant-Bayou is down $17.28 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 37 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-09-17 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jun 25, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 3:21 AM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 41 markets; 92.0% were buys. They run from Jul 23, 2024 UTC to Jun 25, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.018 | $1.2 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-09-17 21:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 03:21 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 03:21 UTC
polymarket positions
39 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-09-17 21:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $18.76 and losing ones cost $32.04 across 37 settled positions. 24.3% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $7.27 on “Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?” (Yes); the largest loss, $3 on “Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 25 Jun 2025. It has traded 41 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| sell |
| 26.31 |
| $0.040 |
| $1.05 |
| Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | sell | 10.35 | $0.992 | $10.27 | Jun 25, 2025 UTC |
 Will Solana reach $220 in June?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 4.83 | $0.414 | $2 | Jun 12, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 5.52 | $0.181 | $1 | Jun 9, 2025 UTC |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on August 15?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
 Kraken IPO in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
 Trump x Xi talk before July?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 4, 2025 UTC |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Nov 16, 2024 UTC |
 Will 'Wicked' gross between $115-125m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | Nov 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.75 | $0.267 | $1 | Nov 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.993 | $2.75 | Nov 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will the AP call the election on November 8?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 Ethereum above $2,600 on November 1?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.072 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 31, 2024 UTC |
 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.220 | $1.29 | Sep 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Sep 18, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "BTC" during Hannity town hall?Yes | buy | 13.95 | $0.070 | $0.98 | Sep 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "BTC" during Hannity town hall?Yes | buy | 0.36 | $0.070 | $0.03 | Sep 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "mixed-race" in August?Yes | buy | 11.46 | $0.087 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Taylor Swift speak at the DNC?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will two members of The Squad lose their primaries?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Fed rate cut by September 18?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Taylor Swift attend the DNC?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump say "Civil war" during Elon interview?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Aug 11, 2024 UTC |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
 Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.220 | $1.53 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
 House control after 2024 election?Democratic | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 8, 2024 UTC |
 Fed emergency rate cut in August?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.052 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 5, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jul 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump and Harris debate before election?Yes | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Jul 24, 2024 UTC |
 Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?No | buy | 5 | $0.650 | $3.25 | Jul 23, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.320 | $1.6 | Jul 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.062 | $0.62 | Jul 23, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.