Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 90%. Yes opened at 21% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 1 Nov 2024, the highest close was 75% on 31 Oct 2024 and the lowest 10% on 1 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 65 points down, to 10% on 1 Nov 2024. $2.4M traded over the market's life.
129 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 1 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 21.0% |
| 1 Nov 2024 | 10.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| puppysbreath | Yes | 12.6K |
| Regalia | Yes | 9.85K |
| confxsd | Yes | 5.6K |
| cryptomakase | Yes | 4.63K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETHUSDT 01 Nov '24 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) has a final “Close” price of 2,600.01 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETHUSDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETHUSDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ethereum-above-2600-on-november-1
| yaboybigMike | Yes | 4.3K |
| roofdier | Yes | 1.69K |
| Erick1025 | Yes | 1.5K |
| TheBox | Yes | 1.3K |
| Stasik2009 | Yes | 1.05K |
| Melih | Yes | 1K |
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