Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 38% on 2 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Aug 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 38% on 2 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.9% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 28.5% on 3 Aug 2024. $30.96K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 1:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Aug 2024 – 1 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2024 | 38.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| triskelion | Yes | 300 |
| ER02CB | Yes | 166.67 |
| JohnLawrence | Yes | 100.99 |
| ys-eth | Yes | 16.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the word "mixed race" between August 1, 5:45 PM ET and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump must say "mixed race" exactly for the mention to count toward this market's resolution (e.g. if Trump says "mixed" referring to someone's ancestry but it is not "mixed race", it will not count toward this market's resolution). Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-in-august
| Livid-Actor | Yes | 16.67 |
| S1mplez | Yes | 10 |
| GGeazy | Yes | 5.26 |
| Ch33t0s | Yes | 3.33 |
| haaaam80 | Yes | 0.1 |
| Indigo Voyager E113 | Yes | 0.09 |
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