
Resolved Yes on 4 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 100%. Yes opened at 28% on 5 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 153 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2024 to 4 Sep 2024, the highest close was 100% on 4 Sep 2024 and the lowest 14% on 7 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 38 points up, to 65% on 19 Apr 2024. $135.84K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 5, 4:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 153 points, 5 Apr 2024 – 4 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2024 | 28.0% |
| 4 Sep 2024 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.29K |
| gesadgi | No | 200 |
| whowe1 | No | 84.62 |
"The Squad" refers to an informal group of eight Democratic members of the US House of Representatives known for leftist, progressive views. All are running for reelection in the 2024 US general election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly two listed members of The Squad lose their 2024 primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The list of members in The Squad are as follows: -Greg Casar (TX-35, won his primary on March 5) -Summer Lee (PA-12, primary on April 23) -Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14, primary on June 25) -Jamaal Bowman (NY-16, primary on June 25) -Cori Bush (MO-1, primary on August 6) -Rashida Tlaib (MI-12, primary on August 6) -Ilhan Omar (MN-5, primary on August 13) -Ayanna Pressley (MA-7, primary on September 3) This market may immediately resolve to "No" if more than two squad members lose. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from each relevant state's Democratic Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-members-of-the-squad-will-lose-their-primaries
| CrunchWrapoDeLaFuente | Yes | 0.03 |
| asi-356 | Yes | 0.02 |
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