Trump-Vance Republican ticket on election day?

politicsResolved

Yes, settled Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$991.3K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Nov 5, 2024 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 5 Nov 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 92% on 7 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 91 daily closes on record from 7 Aug 2024 to 5 Nov 2024, the highest close was 99.8% on 4 Nov 2024 and the lowest 89% on 12 Aug 2024. $991.25K traded over the market's life.

65 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 6, 7:37 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 91 points, 7 Aug 2024 – 5 Nov 2024, chart shows 85%–100%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
7 Aug 2024	92.0%
5 Nov 2024	99.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tstraya	No	10.03K
7113	No	2.83K
ericsun97	No	2K

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final Republican ticket for the 2024 U.S. presidential election consists of Donald Trump and J.D. Vance. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the official Republican nominees for president and vice president as of November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. If either of these nominees drop out from the election or otherwise lose the official nomination of their party for the respective presidential and vice presidential roles, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Note that whether Trump-Vance are on state ballots will have no bearing on this market - only their status as the Republican nominees will be considered. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent either of these candidates from continuing the race, this market will also immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official US governmental sources, and the Republican party (e.g. https://gop.com/, etc.).