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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 4.67 | $0.660 | $3.86 | +$0.77 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | 11d ago |
 |
| No |
| 3.79 |
| $0.820 |
| $3.47 |
| +$0.36 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 3.98 | $0.780 | $3.32 | +$0.22 |
 José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison? | No | 3.32 | $0.810 | $3.23 | +$0.55 |
 Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? | No | 3 | $0.720 | $2.78 | +$0.62 |
 Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.85 | $0.830 | $2.68 | +$0.31 |
 Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 2.94 | $0.660 | $2.46 | +$0.51 |
 Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31? | No | 2.53 | $0.819 | $2.32 | +$0.24 |
 Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | No | 2 | $0.670 | $1.89 | +$0.55 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | No | 2.8 | $0.650 | $1.55 | -$0.27 |
 Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31? | Yes | 1.73 | $0.500 | $1.5 | +$0.63 |
 Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | No | 3 | $0.390 | $1.4 | +$0.23 |
 Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | Yes | 4.93 | $0.300 | $1.28 | -$0.2 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | Yes | 4.56 | $0.450 | $1.16 | -$0.89 |
 Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 1.48 | $0.750 | $1.12 | +$0.01 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31? | No | 1 | $0.790 | $0.94 | +$0.15 |
 Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | No | 0.94 | $0.770 | $0.87 | +$0.15 |
 Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.195 | $0.77 | -$0.04 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.67 | $0.230 | $0.75 | -$0.09 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 2.95 | $0.230 | $0.69 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Minnesota 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | Yes | 3.17 | $0.250 | $0.68 | -$0.11 |
 Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.41 | $0.320 | $0.57 | -$0.84 |
 Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 2.84 | $0.440 | $0.41 | -$0.84 |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | Yes | 0.92 | $0.430 | $0.39 | -$0.01 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.33 | $0.250 | $0.37 | +$0.04 |
| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.400 |
| $2 |
| 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 8 | $0.599 | $4.79 | 11d ago |
 Lula participates in debate before first round?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.300 | $2.4 | 11d ago |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?No | sell | 8 | $0.630 | $5.04 | 12d ago |
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.100 | $1.6 | 14d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.600 | $4.8 | 14d ago |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 14d ago |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.790 | $3.95 | 14d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | 15d ago |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.530 | $4.24 | 15d ago |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.161 | $0.81 | 17d ago |
 US recession by end of 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.660 | $5.28 | 18d ago |
 Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No | buy | 8 | $0.230 | $1.84 | 19d ago |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.230 | $1.15 | 20d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.510 | $2.55 | 23d ago |
 Discord IPO before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.703 | $5.62 | 23d ago |
 Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.150 | $1.2 | 23d ago |
 Will the Serbian National Assembly be dissolved by August 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | 23d ago |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | 24d ago |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.430 | $2.15 | 24d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 25d ago |
 Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.320 | $2.56 | 26d ago |
 Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?Yes | sell | 0.67 | $0.375 | $0.25 | 28d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.780 | $6.24 | 28d ago |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | 28d ago |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | sell | 29.11 | $0.540 | $15.72 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.393 | $3.15 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 10 minutes long?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.900 | $0.9 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?No | sell | 5.09 | $0.430 | $2.19 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will SCOTUS let Trump build the White House ballroom by September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.570 | $4.56 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.57 | $0.745 | $7.87 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will the 1996 McLaren F1 GTR sell for at least $35m at auction?No | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Trump pardon anyone by August 31?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.350 | $2.8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 SHEIN IPO before 2027?No | sell | 5 | $0.084 | $0.42 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.240 | $1.2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.261 | $1.31 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.190 | $0.95 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Discord IPO before 2027?No | sell | 8 | $0.683 | $5.46 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.184 | $1.47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.410 | $3.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?No | buy | 8 | $0.740 | $5.92 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 8 | $0.220 | $1.76 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.74 | $0.219 | $3.01 | Jul 30, 2026 |