Analytics
Trading ended on 7 Sep 2026 with Yes at 6.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 66 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 76% on 2 Sep 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 8 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 8.5%; a month before, 21%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 46.5% on 10 Oct 2026.
SPD ranks fifth of the 7 outcomes in “Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?”. AfD leads at 62%; BSW is at 19.7%.
$14.32K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 1.9K shares; the largest No position is SnapElectionAvoider with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 86.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 9:10 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 66 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 54.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 1.9K |
| SnapElectionAvoider | No | 1.33K |
| rabbit007 | No | 1.2K |
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-parties-will-be-in-next-sachsen-anhalt-state-government
| LornaPredicts |
| Yes |
| 480.23 |
| TheOne777 | Yes | 208.34 |
| Korne | Yes | 200 |
| aff3 | No | 166.21 |
| hochnaesigezicke | No | 154.68 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 138.92 |
| vyemfql | No | 95.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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