Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 3.56 | $0.281 | $3.08 | +$2.08 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 424.97 |
| $0.005 |
| $2.55 |
| +$0.55 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 3.32 | $0.301 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will Iran legalize gay marriage? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.260 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | 6.58 | $0.152 | $0.43 | -$0.57 |
 Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 2.23 | $0.449 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.55 | $0.220 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 3.48 | $0.287 | $0.13 | -$0.87 |
| buy |
| 424.97 |
| $0.005 |
| $2 |
| 5d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.32 | $0.301 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Iran legalize gay marriage?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboYes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.152 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.005 | $0.02 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in April 2026?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.48 | $0.287 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | buy | 3.56 | $0.281 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?No | buy | 2.02 | $0.496 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 2.23 | $0.449 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.054 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 10, 2026 |