Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 11:49 PM UTC.
Analytics
Eyalk has made $18.94 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 20, 11:49 PM UTC.
$1 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 32 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Jun 8, 2026 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 14.09 | $0.213 | $12.61 | +$9.61 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | 15d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 06:02 UTC
Polymarket public position response
20 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-20 23:49 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-20 23:49 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 06:02 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $81.69 and losing ones cost $31.84 across the latest 50 settled positions. 58% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.97 on “Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?” (Yes); the largest loss, $5 on “Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 124 markets. Its open positions are worth $51.85 across 20 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 14.44 |
| $0.761 |
| $11.99 |
| +$0.99 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 7.04 | $0.710 | $6.27 | +$1.27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2.41 | +$0.41 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | No | 2.38 | $0.420 | $2.25 | +$1.25 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1.42 | +$0.42 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1.23 | +$0.23 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 7.42 | $0.270 | $1.15 | -$0.85 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.765 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | Yes | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.08 | $0.245 | $0.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.76 | $0.266 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 4 | $0.250 | $0.18 | -$0.82 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | Yes | 2.17 | $0.460 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 62.35 | $0.016 | $0.09 | -$0.91 |
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $1 |
| Sep 7, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.790 | $4 | Aug 31, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Aug 13, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Jul 30, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 3.7 | $0.360 | $1.33 | Jul 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 23, 2026 UTC |
 Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | sell | 1.92 | $0.600 | $1.15 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.51 | $0.280 | $2.38 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?Yes | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.270 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.31 | $0.765 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel election happen as scheduled?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | sell | 2.56 | $0.650 | $1.66 | Jul 20, 2026 UTC |
 Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.710 | $0.99 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 17, 2026 UTC |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jul 16, 2026 UTC |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 7?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.006 | $8 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?No | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.330 | $0.83 | Jul 2, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jul 1, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.810 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 7.94 | $0.630 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.970 | $1.61 | Jun 21, 2026 UTC |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.25 | $0.690 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 28.42 | $0.850 | $24.16 | Jun 16, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 UTC |
 Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli forces enter Tyre by June 30?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 32.69 | $0.830 | $27.13 | Jun 9, 2026 UTC |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.