Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 44.5% on 24 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 52.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 25% on 10 Aug 2026. $477.62K traded over the market's life.
150 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 99 points · 24 Jun 2026 – 1 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jun 2026 | 44.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RememberAmalek | Yes | 37.16K |
| Ghhdhhdjjdjdjd | Yes | 15K |
| anoin123 | Yes | 13.17K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify. Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market. The resolution source for this market will be the image/video of Mojtaba Khamenei, and a consensus of credible reporting as to whether it is real.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mojtaba-khamenei-public-appearance-by
| 8dcc906a9b | Yes | 5.88K |
| Theneeone | Yes | 5.65K |
| BrownBees | Yes | 4.9K |
| Lunar Summit 001A | Yes | 4.64K |
| Skinny-Class | Yes | 4.2K |
| Odysseus7 | No | 4K |
| gods-eye | Yes | 2.9K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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