Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 10K | $0.316 | $2.05K | -$1.11K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 249.87 | $0.350 | $87.45 | 2d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.5K |
| $0.680 |
| $1.79K |
| +$87.5 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.46K | $0.178 | $1.62K | -$1.12K |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? | No | 9.03K | $0.270 | $1.22K | -$1.22K |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | $0.115 | $1.19K | +$38.71 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 7.52K | $0.153 | $1.17K | +$10.95 |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3.81K | $0.340 | $1.12K | -$171.23 |
| Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.81K | $0.414 | $1.11K | -$52.81 |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3K | $0.164 | $393 | -$99 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 20K | $0.197 | $310 | -$3.62K |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 1.42K | $0.220 | $290.86 | -$21.28 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | No | 940 | $0.130 | $286.7 | +$164.5 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2.5K | $0.138 | $245 | -$100 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 4.9K | $0.182 | $154.37 | -$738.14 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 168.24 | $0.032 | $9.17 | +$3.79 |
| buy |
| 8.48K |
| $0.771 |
| $6.53K |
| 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.48K | $0.721 | $1.06K | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.19K | $0.144 | $171.55 | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.07K | $0.523 | $2.13K | 4d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 154.38 | $0.102 | $15.75 | 4d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 511.99 | $0.870 | $445.43 | 6d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 262.33 | $0.098 | $25.79 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.128 | $132.12 | 7d ago |
| Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.210 | $220.05 | 7d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.63K | $0.764 | $5.06K | 7d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.33K | $0.870 | $1.16K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.59K | $0.921 | $1.46K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.83 | $0.400 | $3.93 | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.630 | $3.15K | 8d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.06K | $0.880 | $930.68 | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.41K | $0.900 | $1.27K | 9d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.32K | $0.550 | $1.83K | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on August 31, 2026?No | buy | 55.67 | $0.739 | $41.14 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 1, 2026?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.190 | $32.3 | 9d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.680 | $30.6 | 9d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.3 | $0.470 | $13.3 | 10d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 185.2 | $0.590 | $109.27 | 10d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.115 | $1.15K | 11d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 214.21 | $0.250 | $53.55 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.328 | $656.32 | 12d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.41K | $0.220 | $311.08 | 13d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.81 | $0.230 | $2.72 | 14d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 856.87 | $0.270 | $231.35 | 15d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.46K | $0.170 | $1.44K | 16d ago |
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.008 | $22.69 | 24d ago |
 Grok 4.6 released by August 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 808.11 | $0.950 | $767.7 | 28d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.220 | $44 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.24K | $0.055 | $68 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.13 | $0.670 | $34.26 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?No | sell | 30.01 | $0.403 | $12.1 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.540 | $16.2 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.920 | $1.35K | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.080 | $0.8 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.7 | $0.880 | $28.78 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | sell | 45 | $0.153 | $6.9 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?No | sell | 192.8 | $0.149 | $28.64 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.41 | $0.016 | $0.49 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.440 | $2.2K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 4.58K | $0.561 | $2.57K | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 668.22 | $0.180 | $120.28 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.337 | $842.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 1.47K | $0.340 | $500 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.459 | $1.15K | Jul 3, 2026 |