Latest trade
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:12 AM UTC.
Analytics
8dcc906a9b is down $38.17K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 24, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 25, 5:12 AM UTC.
$18.55 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 19 markets; 86.0% were buys. They run from Oct 6, 2026 UTC to Oct 24, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 13.41K | $0.315 | $1.88K | -$2.34K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.013 | $0.39 | 1d ago |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 07:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 05:12 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-25 05:12 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 07:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $25.94K and losing ones cost $29.06K across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.61K on “Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.05K on “Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 24 Oct 2026. It has traded 286 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.59K across 51 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.37K |
| $0.383 |
| $1.26K |
| +$736.33 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.879 | $1.1K | +$112.68 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.320 | $686.58 | +$334.25 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 736.6 | $0.497 | $534.04 | +$167.57 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.43K | $0.174 | $410.25 | -$1.76K |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | No | 344 | $0.584 | $318.2 | +$117.38 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.307 | $257.67 | -$376.13 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 3.31K | $0.388 | $248.11 | -$1.03K |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 262.17 | $0.759 | $246.44 | +$47.53 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 215.89 | $0.469 | $204.23 | +$102.89 |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 759.77 | $0.390 | $136.76 | -$159.89 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 420.66 | $0.190 | $124.09 | +$44 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.453 | $118.8 | -$514.79 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 519.15 | $0.250 | $101.23 | -$28.71 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.6K | $0.035 | $98.86 | -$170.7 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 169.04 | $0.067 | $87.73 | +$76.46 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 578.95 | $0.289 | $78.16 | -$88.93 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 530.93 | $0.140 | $76.98 | +$2.65 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 175 | $0.470 | $69.13 | -$13.13 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 223 | $0.183 | $68.02 | +$27.27 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 500.29 | $0.486 | $65.04 | -$178.26 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 444.55 | $0.172 | $53.35 | -$23.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 530 | $0.070 | $42.4 | +$5.3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? | Yes | 411 | $0.047 | $33.5 | +$13.98 |
Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.013 |
| $0.03 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 18.09 | $0.013 | $0.24 | 1d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes | sell | 344 | $0.170 | $58.48 | 4d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 271.25 | $0.890 | $241.41 | 4d ago |
 Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 52.41 | $0.574 | $30.07 | 4d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 4.96 | $0.013 | $0.06 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.34 | $0.013 | $0.02 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 25.01 | $0.013 | $0.33 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.013 | $0.78 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.013 | $1.17 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 75.02 | $0.013 | $0.98 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.013 | $0.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.013 | $0.26 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 96.94 | $0.013 | $1.26 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.013 | $0.39 | 5d ago |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 52.41 | $0.540 | $28.3 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 26.6 | $0.015 | $0.39 | 5d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 279.19 | $0.014 | $3.91 | 5d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.15 | $0.340 | $21.81 | 12d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Flash released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.143 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 135.92 | $0.244 | $33.15 | 14d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.374 | $19.44 | 14d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 373.22 | $0.306 | $114.23 | 14d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.05K | $0.022 | $45.89 | 14d ago |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.12K | $0.140 | $297.41 | 14d ago |
 Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 34.17 | $0.990 | $33.82 | 15d ago |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 2.75K | $0.314 | $864.49 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 46.45 | $0.380 | $17.65 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 20.59 | $0.380 | $7.82 | 15d ago |
 Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?Yes | buy | 373.19 | $0.844 | $315.09 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.380 | $11.4 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.380 | $2.66 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 3 | $0.380 | $1.14 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 123.97 | $0.380 | $47.11 | 15d ago |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.5 | $0.380 | $2.85 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WY-AL House seat?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.004 | $1.2 | 17d ago |
| Will Eric Jacobsen win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?No | buy | 375.45 | $0.996 | $373.81 | 17d ago |
| Will Bonnie Bassler win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?No | buy | 63.54 | $0.987 | $62.7 | 17d ago |
| Will Chi-Huey Wong win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?No | buy | 27.45 | $0.957 | $26.28 | 17d ago |
| Will David Liu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?No | buy | 86.94 | $0.970 | $84.33 | 17d ago |
| Will Jin-Quan Yu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?No | buy | 37.04 | $0.980 | $36.28 | 17d ago |
| Will David Liu win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?No | buy | 312.01 | $0.928 | $289.57 | 17d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.45 | $0.480 | $22.3 | 17d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | 18d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 90.21 | $0.310 | $27.97 | 18d ago |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 241.47 | $0.294 | $71.03 | 18d ago |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.44 | $0.830 | $16.97 | 19d ago |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 555 | $0.830 | $460.65 | 19d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.