Analytics
Resolved Yes on 17 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 94.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 15 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 15 Sep 2026 to 17 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 94.5% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 9.5% on 11 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 22.5% on 17 Sep 2026. $9.48K traded over the market's life.
21 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 18, 8:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 15 Sep 2026 – 17 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 17 Oct 2026 | 94.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Flash model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.2-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro, DeepSeek-OCR, or DeepSeek-V4-Flash-Vision-Exp, Pro-tier models such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813 or DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, and the existing DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash (released September 10, 2026), including any open-weight re-release, snapshot, or re-pointing of the deepseek-flash API alias to it, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-deepseek-flash-released-by-20260914
| No |
| 130 |
| manochartino | No | 100 |
| ExplainWatermelon | No | 52 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 40 |
| romanew-1-new | No | 34.72 |
| PPMT | No | 30.05 |
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