Analytics
8dcc906a9b is down $38.17K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 13.41K | $0.315 | $1.94K | -$2.27K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 07:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 15:52 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 15:52 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 07:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $25.94K and losing ones cost $29.06K across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.61K on “Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.05K on “Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?” (Yes).
It has traded 286 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.64K across 51 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.37K |
| $0.383 |
| $1.29K |
| +$763.74 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.879 | $1.1K | +$112.68 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.320 | $701.45 | +$349.13 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 736.6 | $0.497 | $475.11 | +$108.64 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.43K | $0.174 | $410.25 | -$1.76K |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | No | 344 | $0.584 | $318.2 | +$117.38 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 3.31K | $0.388 | $248.11 | -$1.03K |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 262.17 | $0.759 | $246.44 | +$47.53 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.307 | $216.44 | -$417.35 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 215.89 | $0.469 | $207.47 | +$106.13 |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 759.77 | $0.390 | $148.16 | -$148.49 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 420.66 | $0.190 | $124.09 | +$44 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.453 | $118.8 | -$514.79 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 519.15 | $0.250 | $101.23 | -$28.71 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.6K | $0.035 | $98.86 | -$170.7 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 169.04 | $0.067 | $87.56 | +$76.29 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 175 | $0.470 | $85.75 | +$3.5 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 500.29 | $0.486 | $80.05 | -$163.25 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 578.95 | $0.289 | $78.16 | -$88.93 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 530.93 | $0.140 | $76.98 | +$2.65 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 223 | $0.183 | $70.25 | +$29.5 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 444.55 | $0.172 | $53.35 | -$23.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 530 | $0.070 | $42.4 | +$5.3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? | Yes | 411 | $0.047 | $33.91 | +$14.39 |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
