Analytics
8dcc906a9b is down $38.17K on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 13.41K | $0.315 | $1.94K | -$2.27K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-01 07:27 UTC
Polymarket public position response
50 open positions returned; page coverage partial
2026-10-25 08:41 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 08:41 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-01 07:27 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $25.94K and losing ones cost $29.06K across the latest 50 settled positions. 42% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $12.61K on “Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?” (No); the largest loss, $3.05K on “Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?” (Yes).
It has traded 286 markets. Its open positions are worth $8.7K across 51 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 1.37K |
| $0.383 |
| $1.27K |
| +$743.18 |
 Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 1.13K | $0.879 | $1.12K | +$127.35 |
 Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.1K | $0.320 | $688.23 | +$335.91 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 736.6 | $0.497 | $541.4 | +$174.93 |
 US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.43K | $0.174 | $410.25 | -$1.76K |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | No | 344 | $0.584 | $318.2 | +$117.38 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.06K | $0.307 | $257.67 | -$376.13 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 3.31K | $0.388 | $248.11 | -$1.03K |
 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 262.17 | $0.759 | $246.18 | +$47.26 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026? | No | 215.89 | $0.469 | $203.8 | +$102.46 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 420.66 | $0.190 | $138.82 | +$58.72 |
 Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 759.77 | $0.390 | $129.16 | -$167.48 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | Yes | 1.4K | $0.453 | $118.8 | -$514.79 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 7.6K | $0.035 | $102.66 | -$166.89 |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 519.15 | $0.250 | $101.23 | -$28.71 |
| Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 169.04 | $0.067 | $86.55 | +$75.27 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 175 | $0.470 | $81.38 | -$0.88 |
 Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 578.95 | $0.289 | $78.16 | -$88.93 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 530.93 | $0.140 | $76.98 | +$2.65 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | Yes | 223 | $0.183 | $68.02 | +$27.27 |
 Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | Yes | 500.29 | $0.486 | $60.03 | -$183.26 |
 Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 444.55 | $0.172 | $53.35 | -$23.26 |
 Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 530 | $0.070 | $42.4 | +$5.3 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat? | Yes | 411 | $0.047 | $33.5 | +$13.98 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
