Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?

cultureResolved

Yes, settled Oct 9, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$23.8K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Oct 9, 2026 UTC

Topic roomNobel Prize

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 9 Oct 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 73.5%. Yes opened at 45.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 9 Oct 2026, the highest close was 73.5% on 9 Oct 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 73.5% on 9 Oct 2026. $23.79K traded over the market's life.

45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 10, 9:49 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 9 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–80%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Welostbetting	No	1.54K
GollumGekko	No	500
aliiz	No	240.59
SmartBoyBilly	No	200

10 of 45 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

The Nobel Peace Prize is awarded annually by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. The 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is scheduled to be announced on October 9, 2026, at 11:00 AM CEST (5:00 AM ET). This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one named individual is a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A named individual is a person identified by name as a laureate in the Norwegian Nobel Committee's announcement. An organization, institution, movement, agency, coalition, or other entity is not a named individual. The prize may be divided among up to three laureates. If it is divided between at least one named individual and one or more entities, this market will resolve to "Yes". A person named as a laureate alongside an organization they lead counts as a named individual, as Kofi Annan did when the 2001 prize was divided between the United Nations and its Secretary-General. A person who is not named as a laureate, and who only accepts or represents the prize on an organization's behalf, does not count. A laureate who declines the prize still counts, as Le Duc Tho did in 1973. A laureate honored posthumously still counts, as Dag Hammarskjold did in 1961. If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is withheld, is not awarded, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, published at https://www.nobelprize.org/; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.