Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:20 AM UTC.
Analytics
IbnKhaldun has made $11.75K on Polymarket, #12,968 on Polymarket's all-time profit board.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-26 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 11:20 AM UTC.
$14.24 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 22 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Sep 20, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 2.7K | $0.810 | $2.55K | +$363.5 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 7.68 | $0.430 | $3.3 | 3d ago |
|
Accepted Polymarket leaderboard snapshot
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-26 07:36 UTC
Polymarket public position response
48 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 11:20 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 11:20 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-13 05:30 UTC
Rank, profit and volume come from Polymarket's leaderboard; positions, the chart and trades are read live. Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $45.05K and losing ones cost $33.9K across the latest 50 settled positions. 64% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $6.73K on “US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?” (Yes); the largest loss, $10.31K on “Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?” (No).
It first traded on 21 Feb 2025 and most recently on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 365 markets. Its open positions are worth $6.77K across 48 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 533.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $512 |
| +$112 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | No | 400.01 | $0.890 | $352.01 | -$4 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.640 | $310 | +$54 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10K | $0.110 | $270 | -$830 |
 Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | Yes | 518.5 | $0.317 | $259.25 | +$94.98 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 263.98 | $0.871 | $240.22 | +$10.22 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 240 | $0.840 | $224.4 | +$22.8 |
 Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 2K | $0.137 | $209.89 | -$63.96 |
| Will AI solve the Collatz conjecture in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.710 | $185 | +$43 |
 US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? | No | 200 | $0.830 | $169 | +$3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 178.57 | $0.560 | $154.46 | +$54.46 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | 145.76 | $0.686 | $131.91 | +$31.91 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes | 200 | $0.700 | $125 | -$15 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 257.46 | $0.511 | $113.93 | -$17.71 |
| Will AI determine the Ramsey number R(5,5) in 2026? | No | 133.33 | $0.750 | $109.33 | +$9.33 |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | No | 109.99 | $0.760 | $92.94 | +$9.35 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | Up | 100 | $0.850 | $91.5 | +$6.5 |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.400 | $80 | +$40 |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 500 | $0.160 | $57.5 | -$22.5 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 65.32 | $0.570 | $56.83 | +$19.6 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 400 | $0.170 | $56 | -$11.9 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 313.97 | $0.345 | $51.81 | -$56.41 |
 Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.950 | $48.9 | +$1.4 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.430 | $37.5 | -$5.5 |
| buy |
| 3.6 |
| $0.430 |
| $1.55 |
| 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 0.52 | $0.430 | $0.22 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.430 | $0.09 | 3d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes | buy | 88 | $0.430 | $37.84 | 3d ago |
 Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.094 | $9.4 | 6d ago |
 Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 6d ago |
 Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.740 | $7.4 | 6d ago |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.092 | $9.2 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 83.7 | $0.150 | $12.56 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 46.67 | $0.150 | $7 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.700 | $140 | 6d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | sell | 137.03 | $0.140 | $19.18 | 6d ago |
 AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.078 | $1.56 | 7d ago |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 80.58 | $0.078 | $6.29 | 7d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | 12d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 85 | $0.600 | $51 | 12d ago |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.600 | $9 | 12d ago |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.6K | $0.040 | $344 | 13d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.110 | $22 | 14d ago |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.890 | $89 | 14d ago |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.340 | $102 | 14d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.160 | $80 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | 15d ago |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | sell | 23.34 | $0.180 | $4.2 | 15d ago |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.180 | $9 | 15d ago |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | sell | 26.67 | $0.180 | $4.8 | 16d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.04 | $0.640 | $8.35 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.640 | $192 | 17d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.640 | $55.65 | 17d ago |
 Plague pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 128.72 | $0.039 | $5 | 19d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 60 | $0.539 | $32.34 | 21d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 64.4 | $0.150 | $9.66 | 22d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.210 | $42 | 23d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 586.62 | $0.150 | $87.99 | 29d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.150 | $7.5 | 29d ago |
| Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.140 | $350 | 29d ago |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 98.54 | $0.890 | $87.7 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Sep 24, 2026 UTC |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No | buy | 229.89 | $0.870 | $200 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.830 | $4.88 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 19.18 | $0.830 | $15.92 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 500 | $0.840 | $420 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.370 | $37 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No | sell | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.088 | $8.75 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No | buy | 157.97 | $0.142 | $22.43 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.142 | $0.25 | Sep 20, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.