Analytics
Yes is at 21.3%, up 1.8 points from 19.5% when the market opened on 11 Jul 2026.
Across the 107 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 22.9% on 14 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 17 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.7%; a month before, 3.1%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 22.9% on 14 Sep 2026.
$57.4 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.99K since listing. The order book holds $416.44, with a 34.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 136 trades, $273.12 bought Yes and $2.98K bought No.
The largest Yes position is MaxEnt with 1,000 shares; the largest No position is i400 with 994. Ten wallets hold 90.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 107 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 19.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 21.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaxEnt | Yes | 999.99 |
| i400 | No | 993.82 |
| Yieldgeneratooor | No | 943.84 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped making direct contact between his lips and the Western Wall in Jerusalem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only unambiguous physical contact between his lips and the stones of the wall itself will qualify. Gestures such as blowing a kiss, kissing his hand, or kissing an object placed against the wall will not suffice. The resolution source for this market will be photographic or videographic evidence verified by a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-clavicular-kiss-the-western-wall-in-2026-20260709144445859
| 0xzipper |
| Yes |
| 730 |
| BlindAndDeaf | No | 614.28 |
| Lcz | Yes | 382.88 |
| DegenerateJanet | No | 236.7 |
| Freecoin1 | Yes | 168.68 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 109.04 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 76.28 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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