Latest trade
Mar 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:57 AM UTC.
Analytics
frogzu is down $740.88 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 45 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-07-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Mar 4, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 26, 6:57 AM UTC.
$12.51 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 62.0% were buys. They run from Nov 21, 2025 UTC to Mar 4, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | Yes | 538.57 | $0.139 | $20.47 | -$54.53 |
 Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 194.44 | $0.544 | $105.78 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-07-01 06:20 UTC
Polymarket public position response
12 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-26 06:57 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-26 06:57 UTC
polymarket positions
46 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-07-01 06:20 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $620.98 and losing ones cost $165.28 across 45 settled positions. 82.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $90 on “US strikes Nigeria by December 31?” (Yes); the largest loss, $100 on “Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 4 Mar 2026. It has traded 106 markets. Its open positions are worth $77.45 across 12 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 323.17 |
| $0.143 |
| $17.61 |
| -$28.59 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 384.52 | $0.128 | $10.96 | -$38.09 |
 Obama federally charged before 2027? | Yes | 200.58 | $0.125 | $8.12 | -$16.88 |
 US defaults on debt by 2027? | Yes | 650.92 | $0.077 | $6.18 | -$43.82 |
 Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | Yes | 405.12 | $0.131 | $5.67 | -$47.24 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 117.9 | $0.272 | $3.89 | -$28.16 |
 Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1K | $0.006 | $1.5 | -$4.5 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 42.2 | $0.235 | $1.2 | -$8.7 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.170 | $0.65 | -$4.46 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24.8 | $0.403 | $0.61 | -$9.39 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.160 | $0.59 | -$4.22 |
| sell |
| 1K |
| $0.008 |
| $8 |
| Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 71.42 | $0.740 | $52.85 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | sell | 149.14 | $0.962 | $143.47 | Feb 10, 2026 UTC |
 Lighter Airdrop on December 29?No | buy | 77.09 | $0.570 | $43.94 | Dec 15, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 174.62 | $0.068 | $11.83 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 1.23K | $0.137 | $168.53 | Dec 1, 2025 UTC |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 362.01 | $0.018 | $6.52 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes | buy | 188.66 | $0.159 | $30 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 305.15 | $0.164 | $50 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 990.75 | $0.050 | $50 | Nov 28, 2025 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.100 | $2.5 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 358.57 | $0.139 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 106.38 | $0.470 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?No | buy | 228.66 | $0.219 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 606.47 | $0.082 | $50 | Nov 27, 2025 UTC |
 Kinetiq FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 23 | $0.780 | $17.94 | Nov 25, 2025 UTC |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | sell | 104.27 | $0.155 | $16.14 | Nov 24, 2025 UTC |
 Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.69K | $0.005 | $20 | Nov 23, 2025 UTC |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Nov 22, 2025 UTC |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.081 | $5.67 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 24.8 | $0.403 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?Yes | buy | 286.14 | $0.035 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.139 | $25 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Obama federally charged before 2027?Yes | buy | 200.58 | $0.125 | $25 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| US defaults on debt by 2027?Yes | buy | 650.92 | $0.077 | $50 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Yes | buy | 225.35 | $0.089 | $20 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 140.34 | $0.071 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 104.28 | $0.096 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 93.11 | $0.107 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 120.56 | $0.083 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 193.01 | $0.052 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 186.1 | $0.054 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 205.93 | $0.049 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 298.92 | $0.084 | $25 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 256.89 | $0.039 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 174.63 | $0.057 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 172.83 | $0.058 | $10 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 172.68 | $0.170 | $29.36 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 88.82 | $0.200 | $17.76 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes | sell | 146.28 | $0.053 | $7.75 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 217.39 | $0.061 | $13.19 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 73.52 | $0.080 | $5.88 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 73.88 | $0.088 | $6.48 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.181 | $16.31 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.380 | $14.61 | Nov 21, 2025 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.