Analytics
Paper trading
Yes is at 3.3%, down 11 points from 14.5% when the market opened on 6 Nov 2025.
The high was 32% on 13 Nov 2025 and the low 2.7% on 4 Oct 2026. A week ago Yes was at 4.3%; a month ago, 5.3%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 28.1% on 28 Feb 2026.
$11.09K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $20.63K, with a 1.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 196 trades, $863.92 bought Yes and $2.64K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Kindly2 with 955 shares; the largest No position is Solar Raven A90C with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 74.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 79 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 14, 1:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 323 points, 6 Nov 2025 – 14 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Nov 2025 | 14.5% |
| 14 Oct 2026 | 3.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solar Raven A90C | No | 1.4K |
| Kindly2 | Yes | 955.32 |
| DegenerateJanet | No | 771.22 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Barack Obama by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/obama-federally-charged-before-2027
| cwehden |
| Yes |
| 604.24 |
| yoyo22 | Yes | 565.79 |
| paulco | Yes | 467.71 |
| XAE12Archangel | No | 370.84 |
| 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | No | 334.9 |
| frogzu | Yes | 200.58 |
| Trismegistos | Yes | 200.39 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page