Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 42% on 8 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 8 Aug 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49% on 14 Aug 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points down, to 24% on 11 Oct 2025. $1.56M traded over the market's life.
192 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 20, 6:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 8 Aug 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2025 | 42.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jadb26 | Yes | 28.27K |
| Shadowws | Yes | 14.94K |
| Timeroutes | Yes | 11.46K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k
| wallace487 | Yes | 9.1K |
| Tight-Conga | Yes | 7.96K |
| ping0901 | Yes | 6.8K |
| longxinyan | Yes | 4.25K |
| xpanse | Yes | 3.97K |
| back-in-whack | Yes | 3.94K |
| godofdance | Yes | 3.94K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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