Analytics
Yes is at 6%, down 39 points from 44.5% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 63 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44.5% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 4.5% on 17 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 6.5%; a month before, 7.5%. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 10.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Bitcoin hit $150k?”.
$4.3K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $5.67K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 67 trades, $241.46 bought Yes and $436.21 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Surprised-Instrument with 1.3K shares; the largest No position is justdance with 2.1K.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 4:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 6.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| justdance | No | 2.08K |
| Surprised-Instrument | Yes | 1.3K |
| smarturn1 | Yes | 700 |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k
| iraa3 |
| No |
| 192.23 |
| Ledgertony | Yes | 120 |
| Azure Pulse A7A1 | Yes | 111.11 |
| Those-Pocketwatch | Yes | 62.5 |
| Heiko1 | No | 52.63 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 41.46 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 27.36 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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