Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 26 points from 36% when the market opened on 21 Aug 2026.
Across the 74 daily closes on record from 21 Aug 2026 to 5 Nov 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 36% on 21 Aug 2026 and the lowest 10% on 2 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%; a month before, 17%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 15.5% on 22 Aug 2026.
It is one of 5 markets under “When will Bitcoin hit $150k?”.
$11.07K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $18.37K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 103 trades, $1.35K bought Yes and $916.37 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Elastic-Goggles with 3.6K shares; the largest No position is justdance with 8.1K. Ten wallets hold 98.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 5, 11:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 74 points, 21 Aug 2026 – 5 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 | 36.0% |
| 5 Nov 2026 | 10.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| justdance | No | 8.06K |
| Elastic-Goggles | Yes | 3.58K |
| UpOnly1 | Yes | 1.91K |
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title by 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/when-will-bitcoin-hit-150k
| Surprised-Instrument |
| Yes |
| 1.38K |
| smolbrain0x | Yes | 1K |
| iraa3 | No | 268 |
| Key03 | Yes | 217.76 |
| Keen Harbor EF0A | Yes | 102 |
| Heiko1 | No | 56.18 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 55.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
