Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | 28.84 | $0.783 | $26.68 | +$4.08 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.270 | $3 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 17.23 |
| $0.871 |
| $16.68 |
| +$1.68 |
 Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | 11.74 | $0.851 | $10.98 | +$0.98 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10.91 | +$0.91 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 10 | $0.860 | $9.93 | +$1.33 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? | No | 18.57 | $0.285 | $9.05 | +$3.75 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 10 | $0.500 | $7.6 | +$2.6 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.43 | $0.530 | $7.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 8.53 | $0.821 | $7.12 | +$0.12 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | No | 16.67 | $0.300 | $6.42 | +$1.42 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 6.67 | $0.750 | $6.3 | +$1.3 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5.47 | +$0.47 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.62 | $0.889 | $5.26 | +$0.26 |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $5.21 | +$4.21 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5.14 | +$0.14 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5.09 | +$0.09 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 6.6 | $0.758 | $5 | +$0 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 5.32 | $0.940 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
| US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026? | No | 5.56 | $0.900 | $4.97 | -$0.03 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.55 | $0.880 | $4.44 | +$0.44 |
 Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? | No | 9.62 | $0.520 | $4.33 | -$0.67 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.46 | $0.670 | $4.07 | -$0.93 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 18.05 | $0.332 | $3.16 | -$2.84 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $5 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Lindsay Clancy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?No | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | 1d ago |
 Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.43 | $0.530 | $5 | 2d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | 2d ago |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?No | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | 2d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | 4d ago |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | 4d ago |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 4d ago |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | 4d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.595 | $1 | 22d ago |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | 25d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | 27d ago |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | 27d ago |
 Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes | buy | 8.64 | $0.579 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | 29d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.889 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.490 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.950 | $10 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | buy | 12.16 | $0.411 | $5 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.089 | $2.67 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?No | buy | 10 | $0.620 | $6.2 | May 2, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | May 2, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.840 | $8.4 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.470 | $4.7 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Apr 25, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.860 | $8.6 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.540 | $2.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?No | buy | 14.59 | $0.810 | $11.82 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | buy | 6.67 | $0.750 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | Apr 10, 2026 |