Analytics
Resolved Yes on 18 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 19 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2026 to 18 Sep 2026, the highest close was 99.8% on 18 Sep 2026 and the lowest 22% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 99.3% on 15 Sep 2026. $7.27K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 7:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 19 Aug 2026 – 18 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | 48.5% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LongShot-Louie | No | 1.06K |
| S888 | No | 1K |
| Schnitzelwiener | No | 355.86 |
| a5533 | No | 84.64 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mitch-mcconnell-votes-in-the-senate-by-september-30
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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