Latest trade
Jan 7, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:03 PM UTC.
Analytics
RoryNicholas is down $26.11 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 47 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2025-08-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Jan 7, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 6:03 PM UTC.
$0.31 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 39 markets; 72.0% were buys. They run from Aug 6, 2024 UTC to Jan 7, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.810 | $1.01 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2025-08-18 08:06 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 18:03 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 18:03 UTC
polymarket positions
49 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2025-08-18 08:06 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $1.83 and losing ones cost $25.42 across 47 settled positions. 66% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $0.44 on “Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?” (Yes); the largest loss, $18.85 on “Will Mitt Romney be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 7 Jan 2025. It has traded 49 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 2.48 |
| $0.610 |
| $1.51 |
| Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Wild vs. UtahUtah | buy | 1.23 | $0.530 | $0.65 | Dec 11, 2024 UTC |
| Avalanche vs. PenguinsAvalanche | buy | 0.15 | $0.950 | $0.14 | Dec 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will Mary Lou McDonald be the next Prime Minister of Ireland?No | buy | 0.26 | $0.989 | $0.26 | Dec 11, 2024 UTC |
 Will California move right in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 0.1 | $0.999 | $0.1 | Dec 11, 2024 UTC |
 Leicester City wins the Premier League?No | buy | 0.21 | $0.995 | $0.21 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?Yes | buy | 0.4 | $0.928 | $0.37 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?No | buy | 0.22 | $0.880 | $0.19 | Nov 27, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.940 | $0.19 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
 Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.966 | $0.64 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 0.59 | $0.540 | $0.32 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
 Trump's November 26 sentencing pushed back?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.650 | $0.81 | Nov 14, 2024 UTC |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 0.27 | $0.920 | $0.25 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?No | buy | 0.37 | $0.650 | $0.24 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.64 | $0.660 | $0.42 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214No | buy | 0.19 | $0.975 | $0.19 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.973 | $0.17 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
 Trump in jail before election day?No | sell | 0.11 | $0.976 | $0.11 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
 Trump on ballot in every state?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.953 | $0.18 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
 Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.550 | $0.24 | Sep 20, 2024 UTC |
 Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar?Netanyahu | buy | 0.46 | $0.480 | $0.22 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?Yes | buy | 0.44 | $0.545 | $0.24 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 US congress stock trading ban by August 31?No | sell | 0.32 | $0.992 | $0.32 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | sell | 0.57 | $0.968 | $0.55 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 US adds more than 300k jobs in August?Yes | sell | 13.97 | $0.041 | $0.57 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | sell | 111 | $0.004 | $0.44 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.850 | $0.88 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before election?No | sell | 1.23 | $0.840 | $1.03 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 Will France recognize Palestine before September?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.981 | $1.04 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 US bank failure before September?No | sell | 1.41 | $0.952 | $1.34 | Aug 23, 2024 UTC |
 COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No | buy | 0.12 | $0.930 | $0.11 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Will one SpaceX Starship launch successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 111 | $0.010 | $1.11 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?No | buy | 0.44 | $0.810 | $0.36 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?No | buy | 0.31 | $0.860 | $0.27 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 0.2 | $0.850 | $0.17 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| US adds more than 300k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 13.97 | $0.068 | $0.95 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| US adds less than 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 0.17 | $0.870 | $0.15 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| US congress stock trading ban by August 31?No | buy | 0.32 | $0.963 | $0.31 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points in Sept meeting?No | buy | 0.57 | $0.940 | $0.54 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| US bank failure before September?No | buy | 1.42 | $0.860 | $1.22 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?No | buy | 0.18 | $0.900 | $0.16 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Mitt Romney be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 18.85K | $0.001 | $18.85 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Lucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.890 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Trump in jail before election day?No | buy | 0.11 | $0.960 | $0.11 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | buy | 0.29 | $0.889 | $0.26 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal?No | buy | 0.75 | $0.889 | $0.67 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
| Trump on ballot in every state?Yes | buy | 0.19 | $0.940 | $0.18 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Will Trump appeal his hush money conviction?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.890 | $0.99 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
 Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine before October?No | sell | 1.07 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 6, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.