Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 90.3%. Yes opened at 80% on 1 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 95 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2024 to 3 Nov 2024, the highest close was 96.5% on 6 Aug 2024 and the lowest 1.8% on 2 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 88 points up, to 90.3% on 3 Nov 2024. $723.15K traded over the market's life.
110 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 5:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 95 points, 1 Aug 2024 – 3 Nov 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2024 | 80.0% |
| 3 Nov 2024 | 90.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hypergambler | No | 5K |
| Intention | No | 2K |
| kyesaerc | No | 1.25K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris makes an in-person appearance on Saturday Night Live by November 2, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Virtual appearances will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a released episode of SNL which features Kamala Harris.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-kamala-go-on-snl
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| No |
| 1.22K |
| Gomble | No | 1.1K |
| Twin-Futon | No | 738.95 |
| Orwellian | No | 738.05 |
| smoothsteve | No | 730.49 |
| NarcBat | No | 347.1 |
| Gregarious-Experiment | No | 299.99 |
