Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19% on 12 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 52 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2024 to 1 Sep 2024, the highest close was 19% on 12 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points down, to 11.5% on 13 Jul 2024. $79.73K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 5, 8:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 12 Jul 2024 – 1 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | 19.0% |
| 1 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| polykwarker | Yes | 228.29 |
| Fab768a91f08a1AF60abCaaC0143a24168697DB4 | Yes | 125 |
| Cumbersome-Mandarin | Yes | 62.5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law between July 10, 2024, and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-congress-stock-trading-ban-by-august-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 10 |
| jkhomme9 | Yes | 2.78 |
| jkhomme3 | Yes | 2.7 |
| codaer | No | 0.07 |
| aidencollins | No | 0.04 |
| justin52 | No | 0.02 |
| milaaubrey | No | 0.02 |
