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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 804.61K | $0.007 | $3.62K | -$1.81K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.11K | $0.004 | $32.45 | 3d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 869.9K |
| $0.003 |
| $1.3K |
| -$1.21K |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 9.12K | $0.144 | $642.91 | -$669.09 |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | No | 33.9 | $0.590 | $30.68 | +$10.68 |
 SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? | No | 40.61 | $0.492 | $25.78 | +$5.78 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | No | 31.25 | $0.640 | $24.53 | +$4.53 |
 US congress stock trading ban before 2027? | No | 26.23 | $0.762 | $24.4 | +$4.4 |
 Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20.78 | +$0.78 |
 Eric Adams charged by December 31? | No | 24.69 | $0.810 | $18.15 | -$1.85 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | Yes | 97.4 | $0.205 | $16.07 | -$3.93 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 589.15 | $0.034 | $11.49 | -$8.51 |
 Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | 60.61 | $0.330 | $8.18 | -$11.82 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 104.75 | $0.160 | $6.81 | -$9.95 |
 Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? | Yes | 62.73 | $0.319 | $5.61 | -$14.39 |
 Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | Yes | 42.49 | $0.471 | $5.52 | -$14.48 |
| buy |
| 651.91K |
| $0.004 |
| $2.61K |
| 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 89.3K | $0.002 | $178.6 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 610.7K | $0.002 | $1.22K | 3d ago |
 Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 9.53K | $0.280 | $2.67K | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 3.49K | $0.490 | $1.71K | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.85K | $0.690 | $1.97K | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.009 | $20 | 20d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 9.53K | $0.511 | $4.87K | 20d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.26K | $0.021 | $300 | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 102.72K | $0.020 | $2.05K | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125K | $0.006 | $750 | 27d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 6.72K | $0.149 | $1K | 27d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.28K | $0.015 | $216.83 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 33.81K | $0.007 | $250 | 28d ago |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.148 | $200 | 28d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 530.58 | $0.550 | $291.82 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.018 | $180 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10K | $0.010 | $100 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.75 | $0.160 | $16.76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 104.44 | $0.450 | $47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.011 | $12 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.023 | $25 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.107 | $112 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 98.73 | $0.900 | $88.86 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 91.62 | $0.760 | $69.63 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.63 | $0.900 | $22.16 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?No | sell | 22.91 | $0.902 | $20.66 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.918 | $20.62 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 98.73 | $0.790 | $78 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 78.25 | $0.749 | $58.61 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?No | buy | 58.7 | $0.733 | $43 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 294.03 | $0.075 | $22.13 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | sell | 281.14 | $0.088 | $24.78 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 575.17 | $0.522 | $300 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | sell | 309.95 | $0.991 | $307.24 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?No | buy | 882.35 | $0.170 | $150 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on July 14?No | buy | 159.64 | $0.864 | $138 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?Yes | buy | 309.96 | $0.439 | $136 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?No | sell | 656.15 | $0.244 | $160.1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?Yes | buy | 145.13 | $0.774 | $112.33 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?No | sell | 630.42 | $0.187 | $118 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.682 | $878.03 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?Yes | sell | 2.07K | $0.450 | $930 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15?Yes | buy | 2.07K | $0.454 | $939.11 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | sell | 23.49 | $0.966 | $22.69 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.968 | $21.99 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 NATO dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 21.73 | $0.988 | $21.47 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?Yes | sell | 909.72 | $0.996 | $906.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 14?Yes | buy | 909.73 | $0.824 | $750 | Jul 14, 2026 |