Analytics
Yes is at 14.5%, down 23 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 14 Jan 2026.
Across the 266 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 10% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 15.5%; a month before, 17%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 16% on 2 May 2026.
$4.02K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $221.7, with a 13.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 61 trades, $68.1 bought Yes and $1.29K bought No.
The largest Yes position is crypto-basenji with 520 shares; the largest No position is Xeny with 847. Ten wallets hold 86.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 2:56 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 266 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 37.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 14.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Xeny | No | 847.38 |
| crypto-basenji | Yes | 519.99 |
| TruongMyLan | No | 255 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Eric Adams by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eric-adams-charged-by-december-31
| xtxpleasecallme |
| Yes |
| 183.86 |
| 568888433Bobby | Yes | 118.7 |
| dethective | No | 102 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 67 |
| robicheaux | Yes | 58 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 50 |
| KellyPhillips9072 | Yes | 48 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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