Analytics
Yes is at 9.2%, down 11 points from 20% when the market opened on 8 Jan 2026.
The high was 38% on 5 May 2026 and the low 2.4% on 22 Jul 2026. A week ago Yes was at 8.6%; a month ago, 6.2%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 37% on 4 May 2026.
$77.59K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.83K, with a 9.2% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 382 trades, $398.25 bought Yes and $33.15K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Mozera with 500 shares; the largest No position is chingata with 622. Ten wallets hold 65.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 81 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 12, 9:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 270 points · 8 Jan 2026 – 12 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | 20.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 9.1% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| chingata | No | 622 |
| Mozera | Yes | 500 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 478.6 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any member state formally withdraws from BRICS or provides an official notice of denunciation to BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A notice of denunciation refers to the submission of a notice of withdrawal. The resolution source will be official information from the relevant government and BRICS; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-country-leave-brics-in-2026
| Porx |
| No |
| 300 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 165.26 |
| WatchTheTape | No | 147.77 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 131.4 |
| SummerWind | No | 100 |
| Segodnyarnesresh | No | 85.8 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 83.97 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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