Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 499.99 | $0.806 | $480.74 | +$77.75 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.074 | $37 | 13d ago |
 |
| No |
| 500.99 |
| $0.821 |
| $462.42 |
| +$51.05 |
 Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | 460 | $0.669 | $418.6 | +$110.61 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 419.64 | $0.684 | $383.97 | +$97.04 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | No | 117.03 | $0.750 | $98.89 | +$11.12 |
 Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | Yes | 100 | $0.920 | $97.15 | +$5.15 |
 Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.850 | $95.5 | +$10.5 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 200 | $0.210 | $94 | +$52 |
 Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.710 | $93.95 | +$22.95 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 99.99 | $0.810 | $92.49 | +$11.5 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.740 | $89.5 | +$15.5 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.670 | $86.5 | +$19.5 |
 Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 192.21 | $0.390 | $74 | -$0.96 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | No | 100 | $0.470 | $62 | +$15 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | 328.7 | $0.344 | $41.09 | -$72.17 |
 Epic Games IPO before 2027? | No | 35.64 | $0.674 | $34.07 | +$10.06 |
 Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.230 | $14.5 | -$31.5 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.175 | $14.4 | -$20.6 |
 Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? | No | 14.81 | $0.730 | $14.35 | +$3.53 |
 Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 9.27 | $0.940 | $9.17 | +$0.46 |
 Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | No | 7.51 | $0.187 | $7.35 | +$5.94 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | Yes | 36 | $0.390 | $5.04 | -$9 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.299 | $3.75 | -$11.2 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 0.15 | $0.876 | $0.15 | +$0.01 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.140 |
| $14 |
| 13d ago |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 41.05 | $0.890 | $36.53 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.582 | $58.2 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 111 | $0.270 | $29.97 | Jun 2, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.903 | $90.3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.740 | $74 | May 2, 2026 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | May 2, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 400 | $0.790 | $316 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.922 | $92.2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 31.29 | $0.200 | $6.26 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.750 | $45 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.19K | $0.032 | $69.93 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 104.33 | $0.180 | $18.78 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.520 | $5.2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?No | buy | 92 | $0.810 | $74.52 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.957 | $95.7 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Affair" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 111 | $0.490 | $54.39 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Affair" this week? (March 22)Yes | buy | 25 | $0.470 | $11.75 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.310 | $31 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.299 | $14.95 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.089 | $8.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No | buy | 100 | $0.160 | $16 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.420 | $42 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.349 | $34.91 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 31.55 | $0.894 | $28.21 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Will Kuwait strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 153.93 | $0.350 | $53.88 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 72 | $0.840 | $60.48 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 124.82 | $0.350 | $43.69 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 149 | $0.840 | $125.16 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | buy | 178.18 | $0.340 | $60.58 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.360 | $108 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | sell | 250 | $0.840 | $210 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027?No | buy | 199.84 | $0.530 | $105.92 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Epic Games IPO before 2027?No | buy | 35.64 | $0.674 | $24.01 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.130 | $26.02 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 26.66 | $0.003 | $0.08 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 90.9 | $0.026 | $2.36 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.337 | $16.86 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.340 | $17 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1?Yes | buy | 99 | $0.178 | $17.62 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $74.95 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.012 | $1.2 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Jan 16, 2026 |