Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.997 | $1.1 | Jan 16, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.05 |
| $0.983 |
| $4.96 |
| Jan 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump remove Sriram before inauguration?No | buy | 5.06 | $0.989 | $5 | Jan 8, 2025 |
 Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | sell | 5.05 | $0.988 | $4.99 | Jan 7, 2025 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | sell | 5 | $0.998 | $4.99 | Jan 6, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Jan 6, 2025 |
 Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | sell | 5.01 | $0.995 | $4.98 | Jan 4, 2025 |
| Deshaun Watson suspended for personal misconduct?No | buy | 5.02 | $0.997 | $5 | Jan 4, 2025 |
 Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.991 | $4.97 | Jan 3, 2025 |
| Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 3, 2025 |
 Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | sell | 5.02 | $0.993 | $4.98 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.995 | $5 | Jan 2, 2025 |
| Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.994 | $5.98 | Dec 31, 2024 |
| Will 'Wicked' gross more than $500 million domestically by January 9?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | Dec 31, 2024 |
 Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | sell | 5 | $0.996 | $4.98 | Dec 30, 2024 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2024?No | buy | 5.01 | $0.999 | $5 | Dec 30, 2024 |
 Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | sell | 5.04 | $0.989 | $4.98 | Dec 28, 2024 |
| Sotomayor steps down from Supreme Court before inauguration?No | buy | 5.05 | $0.991 | $5 | Dec 28, 2024 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.992 | $4.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 5.03 | $0.994 | $5 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | sell | 6.01 | $0.997 | $5.99 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.998 | $6 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | sell | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
| Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | sell | 8.08 | $0.988 | $7.98 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?No | buy | 8.08 | $0.990 | $8 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Canada federal election in 2024?No | sell | 6.02 | $0.994 | $5.98 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Canada federal election in 2024?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.997 | $6 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.993 | $6.98 | Dec 25, 2024 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2024?No | buy | 7.03 | $0.996 | $7 | Dec 25, 2024 |
 Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | sell | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.999 | $7 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | sell | 6.07 | $0.987 | $5.99 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | buy | 6.07 | $0.988 | $6 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.991 | $7.97 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Luigi Mangione plead guilty?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | Dec 24, 2024 |
 Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | sell | 8.05 | $0.984 | $7.92 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Bird flu pandemic in 2024?No | buy | 8.06 | $0.993 | $8 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 7.03 | $0.994 | $6.99 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 7.04 | $0.995 | $7 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | sell | 8.07 | $0.990 | $7.99 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Mystery Drones searching for nuclear weapons?No | buy | 8.07 | $0.991 | $8 | Dec 23, 2024 |
 Hailey Welch jail in 2024?No | sell | 7.08 | $0.984 | $6.97 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Hailey Welch jail in 2024?No | buy | 7.09 | $0.988 | $7 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.993 | $7.98 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Will Gold close over $3,000 at the end of 2024?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.994 | $8 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | sell | 9.01 | $0.994 | $8.96 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?Yes | buy | 9.02 | $0.998 | $9 | Dec 21, 2024 |
| Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?No | sell | 8.08 | $0.988 | $7.98 | Dec 20, 2024 |