Latest trade
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:24 PM UTC.
Analytics
Frayed-Tugboat-Contact is down $12.02 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-16 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 23, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:24 PM UTC.
$10 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 49 markets; 100.0% were buys. They run from Oct 7, 2026 UTC to Oct 23, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 15.3 | $0.719 | $13.54 | +$2.54 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MODUS Super Series: Stuart Dutton vs Joe HuntJoe Hunt | buy | 24.05 | $0.790 | $19 | 1d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-16 15:01 UTC
Polymarket public position response
29 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 23:24 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 23:24 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-16 15:01 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $457.29 and losing ones cost $89.07 across the latest 50 settled positions. 94% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $35.16 on “Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance” (Argentina); the largest loss, $58.33 on “Cordenons: Maxim Mrva vs Carlo Alberto Caniato” (Carlo Alberto Caniato).
Its most recent trade on record was on 23 Oct 2026. It has traded 646 markets. Its open positions are worth $64.23 across 29 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 11.76 |
| $0.850 |
| $9.53 |
| -$0.47 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 9.55 | $0.733 | $5.59 | -$1.41 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 5.34 | $0.935 | $5.16 | +$0.17 |
 Joventut vs. Basquet Club Andorra | Joventut | 8.33 | $0.840 | $4.17 | -$2.83 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | No | 3.45 | $0.870 | $3.4 | +$0.4 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 5 | $0.770 | $2.95 | -$0.9 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? | No | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | Yes | 2.36 | $0.847 | $1.16 | -$0.84 |
 Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of November 2026? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election? | Yes | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026? | No | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | +$0 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.19 | $0.841 | $1 | -$0 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.99 | -$0.01 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 1.14 | $0.878 | $0.97 | -$0.03 |
 Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
 Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 1.6 | $0.624 | $0.93 | -$0.07 |
 Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1.08 | $0.930 | $0.9 | -$0.1 |
 Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.27 | $0.790 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
 Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
| buy |
| 19.44 |
| $0.770 |
| $14.97 |
| 2d ago |
| Almaty Open, Qualification: Gabriel Diallo vs Rei SakamotoRei Sakamoto | buy | 14.61 | $0.890 | $13 | 6d ago |
| Basquet Club Andorra vs. CB Breogan LugoCB Breogan Lugo | buy | 10.81 | $0.740 | $8 | 7d ago |
| Limoges vs. ASVEL Lyon-VilleurbanneASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | 7d ago |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich FokinaAlexander Zverev | buy | 32.97 | $0.910 | $30 | 7d ago |
 Ningbo Open, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Simona WaltertAnhelina Kalinina | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 7d ago |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp | buy | 65.79 | $0.380 | $25 | 8d ago |
 KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. TraktorNeftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | buy | 24 | $0.815 | $19.56 | 8d ago |
 W15 Maceio: Julia Konishi Camargo Silva vs Luna Maria CinalliLuna Maria Cinalli | buy | 20.22 | $0.890 | $18 | 8d ago |
| Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim MrvaJacob Fearnley | buy | 22.78 | $0.790 | $18 | 8d ago |
| Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim MrvaJacob Fearnley | buy | 24.69 | $0.810 | $20 | 8d ago |
 Utah vs. OilersUtah | buy | 55.42 | $0.830 | $46 | 8d ago |
 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians | buy | 46.45 | $0.750 | $34.84 | 9d ago |
| Reyer Venezia vs. Turk TelekomReyer Venezia | buy | 34.94 | $0.830 | $29 | 10d ago |
| Maia: Sumit Nagal vs Henrique RochaHenrique Rocha | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | 12d ago |
| Roanne: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Liam BroadySascha Gueymard-Wayenburg | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | 12d ago |
| Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Laslo DjereLaslo Djere | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | 13d ago |
| MKS Dabrowa Gornicza vs. Twarde Pierniki TorunMKS Dabrowa Gornicza | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | 14d ago |
| Bahcesehir Koleji vs. KarsiyakaBahcesehir Koleji | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Luis Santana vs. Dzmitry AsanauDzmitry Asanau | buy | 12.9 | $0.930 | $12 | 16d ago |
 Real Madrid vs. PartizanReal Madrid | buy | 9.09 | $0.770 | $7 | 16d ago |
 NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. AjoieFribourg-Gotteron | buy | 12.69 | $0.788 | $10 | 16d ago |
 DEL: Löwen Frankfurt vs. Krefeld PinguineLöwen Frankfurt | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Antofagasta: Miguel Tobon vs Tomas BarriosTomas Barrios | buy | 11.33 | $0.883 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro MidonJoaquin Aguilar | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will JD Vance say "Illegal Alien" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.878 | $1 | 16d ago |
 Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsPARIVISION | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.952 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | 16d ago |
| Will Houthis target Syria by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | 16d ago |
| W15 Maanshan: Meiqi Guo vs Daria EgorovaDaria Egorova | buy | 3.33 | $0.900 | $3 | 16d ago |
| W15 Maanshan: Yanan Hou vs Alina YunevaYanan Hou | buy | 11.36 | $0.880 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Wuning 3: Jay Dylan Friend vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongJay Dylan Friend | buy | 28.25 | $0.708 | $20 | 16d ago |
| Warriors vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers | buy | 12.2 | $0.820 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.624 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | 17d ago |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | 17d ago |
 Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.847 | $1 | 17d ago |
| W35 Las Vegas, NV: Katrina Scott vs Lexington ReedKatrina Scott | buy | 13.51 | $0.740 | $10 | 17d ago |
| CB Murcia vs. Pallacanestro VareseCB Murcia | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | 17d ago |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 118 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.