Analytics
Trading ended on 5 Oct 2026 with Yes at 87.5%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
The high was 88.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the low 44.5% on 18 Aug 2026. A week ago Yes was at 71%; a month ago, 57.5%. Its largest one-day move was 44 points up, to 88.5% on 19 Aug 2026.
Omar Aziz is the favourite of the 7 outcomes in “Amazonas Governor Election Winner”, ahead of Professora Maria do Carmo at 12%.
$19.79K has traded since listing.
The largest Yes position is MSFTQQQ with 1.1K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 4.5K. Ten wallets hold 69.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Oct 11, 2:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 55 points · 18 Aug 2026 – 11 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 44.5% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 87.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.53K |
| MSFTQQQ | Yes | 1.08K |
| IrineuVcNaoSabeNemEu | Yes | 1.05K |
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/amazonas-governor-election-winner
| bmraposo | Yes | 1.03K |
| cigarettes | No | 1.02K |
| whispercatalyst | No | 806.15 |
| Seeking-Alpha01 | No | 715.07 |
| WalterWhiteW | Yes | 575.58 |
| DrunkLeo | Yes | 572.89 |
| breno88 | Yes | 539.4 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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