Analytics
Resolved Rei Sakamoto on 18 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Rei Sakamoto at 51.5%. The Gabriel Diallo side was at 40% at 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC to 18 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the highest read was 51.5% on 17 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 40% on 17 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. $259.83K traded over the market's life.
100 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 8:39 AM UTC
6-hour closes of the Gabriel Diallo price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Oct, 12:00 UTC – 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Gabriel Diallo price |
|---|---|
| 17 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 40.0% |
| 18 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 48.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Gabriel Diallo | 45.92K |
| Complicated-Chassis | Gabriel Diallo | 2.2K |
| Likely-Feedback | Gabriel Diallo | 1.64K |
| AnonymousUsername | Gabriel Diallo |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Diallo and Rei Sakamoto in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Diallo' if Gabriel Diallo advances against Rei Sakamoto. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Gabriel Diallo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-diallo-sakamot-2026-10-18
| 1.47K |
| GG999 | Gabriel Diallo | 1.29K |
| Po1yamory | Gabriel Diallo | 749.98 |
| RoadTo1MillionUsd | Gabriel Diallo | 667.41 |
| outloudm | Gabriel Diallo | 648.36 |
| Mother-Teresa | Gabriel Diallo | 543.14 |
| Meowtchi | Gabriel Diallo | 510.2 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
