Analytics
Resolved Miguel Tobon on 8 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Miguel Tobon at 19.5%. The Miguel Tobon side opened at 24.5% on 7 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 24.5% on 7 Oct 2026 and the low 19.5% on 8 Oct 2026. $278.54K traded over the market's life.
105 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 9, 8:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Miguel Tobon price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 8 Oct 2026, chart shows 16%–28%
| Observed | Miguel Tobon price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 24.5% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service | Tomas Barrios | 17.23K |
| petyas231 | Tomas Barrios | 10.59K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Tomas Barrios | 2.47K |
| MartyFinklestein | Tomas Barrios | 1.43K |
| RebornAthena | Tomas Barrios | 1.02K |
| MrBently | Tomas Barrios | 1.01K |
| Ss1984 | Tomas Barrios | 1K |
| Triplosettete | Tomas Barrios | 605.04 |
| Quirky-Arrogance | Tomas Barrios | 482.32 |
| Cheap-Founder-Pin | Tomas Barrios | 435.41 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Miguel Tobon and Tomas Barrios in the Antofagasta, originally scheduled for October 7, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Tomas Barrios. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Barrios' if Tomas Barrios advances against Miguel Tobon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-tobon-barrios-2026-10-07
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