Analytics
Yes is at 31%, down 26 points from 57.5% when the market opened on 10 Jun 2026.
Across the 135 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74% on 19 Jun 2026 and the lowest 31% on 25 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 44%; a month before, 69%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points down, to 45.5% on 17 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?”.
$108.34 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.45K, with a 44.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is xtxpleasecallme with 39 shares; the largest No position is pollution with 21.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 135 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 57.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 31.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 39.34 |
| pollution | No | 21 |
| Haradwaith | No | 20.65 |
If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-the-doge-1-lunar-mission-launch-before-2027
| Elles |
| Yes |
| 5 |
| Exemplary-Decisionmaking | No | 3.93 |
| Frayed-Tugboat-Contact | Yes | 1.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
