Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.01K | $0.675 | $1.57K | +$220.78 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | 16d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 767.11 |
| $0.792 |
| $648.97 |
| +$41.46 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 824.91 | $0.530 | $639.31 | +$202.11 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | No | 628.27 | $0.294 | $537.17 | +$352.6 |
 Will GameStop acquire eBay? | No | 521 | $0.866 | $481.93 | +$30.66 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 366.27 | $0.670 | $342.47 | +$97.04 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 400 | $0.642 | $342 | +$85 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 380 | $0.517 | $309.7 | +$113.3 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 340 | $0.646 | $307.7 | +$88.1 |
 Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | No | 800.1 | $0.601 | $292.04 | -$189.21 |
 New pandemic before 2028? | No | 355.42 | $0.777 | $291.45 | +$15.08 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | No | 332.39 | $0.399 | $277.55 | +$144.89 |
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | 299.98 | $0.853 | $262.49 | +$6.5 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 400 | $0.482 | $258 | +$65 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 326.18 | $0.560 | $257.68 | +$75.02 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 300 | $0.567 | $256.5 | +$86.5 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026? | No | 200 | $0.730 | $198.3 | +$52.3 |
 Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 208.65 | $0.849 | $195.09 | +$18.04 |
 Natural Disaster in 2026? | No | 219.23 | $0.735 | $191.83 | +$30.6 |
 Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | No | 239.99 | $0.679 | $172.8 | +$9.85 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 117.62 | $0.656 | $109.98 | +$32.76 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.660 | $86.5 | +$20.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.660 | $85.5 | +$19.5 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.470 | $78 | +$31 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | No | 299.96 | $0.367 | $76.49 | -$33.49 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.500 |
| $50 |
| 29d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Muhammad Said (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)Dustin Jacoby | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 88.58 | $0.920 | $81.49 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?No | buy | 52 | $0.330 | $17.16 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.940 | $188 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.768 | $19.2 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 105.04 | $0.770 | $80.88 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.410 | $18.45 | May 26, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 199.99 | $0.999 | $199.79 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.150 | $30 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)Brendson Ribeiro | sell | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Manolo Zecchini vs. Tommy McMillen (Featherweight, Main Card)Manolo Zecchini | sell | 99.98 | $0.110 | $11 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)Stewart Nicoll | sell | 10 | $0.210 | $2.1 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.560 | $1.69 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?No | buy | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.04 | $0.230 | $3 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?No | buy | 9.04 | $0.954 | $8.62 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?No | buy | 16.1 | $0.953 | $15.34 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?No | buy | 70.81 | $0.490 | $34.7 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyNo | sell | 163.76 | $0.280 | $45.85 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?No | sell | 174.98 | $0.984 | $172.18 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?No | sell | 225.01 | $0.984 | $221.41 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?No | sell | 348.51 | $0.968 | $337.36 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | sell | 620.15 | $0.991 | $614.57 | Feb 6, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 106.2 | $0.950 | $100.89 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 21.5 | $0.790 | $16.99 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 80.81 | $0.500 | $40.41 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by February 28?No | buy | 180 | $0.250 | $45 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike EditionNo | sell | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?No | sell | 417.3 | $0.997 | $416.05 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)Royval | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 299.17 | $0.970 | $290.19 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | sell | 0.9 | $0.971 | $0.87 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 25-December 1?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.500 | $2.5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| UFC 322: Meerschaert vs. Daukaus (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Meerschaert | buy | 100 | $0.210 | $21 | Nov 15, 2025 |
 Ukraine election called in 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.968 | $96.8 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Usman vs. WalkerUsman | sell | 1.76K | $0.490 | $861.42 | Oct 10, 2025 |
| Usman vs. WalkerUsman | buy | 762 | $0.320 | $243.84 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Usman vs. WalkerUsman | buy | 400 | $0.310 | $124 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Usman vs. WalkerUsman | buy | 176 | $0.300 | $52.8 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Usman vs. WalkerUsman | buy | 160 | $0.290 | $46.4 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Usman vs. WalkerUsman | buy | 260 | $0.260 | $67.6 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 UFC Fight Night: Nolan vs. ElderNolan | sell | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Sep 26, 2025 |