Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.13 | $0.048 | $1.11 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Sep 25, 2025 |
 Russian strike on a NATO member by October 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in 2025?No | sell | 9.09 | $0.452 | $4.11 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.16 | $0.320 | $1.33 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.050 | $0.45 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?Yes | buy | 1.88 | $0.740 | $1.39 | Sep 14, 2025 |
 Will Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.110 | $0.61 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.060 | $0.46 | Sep 13, 2025 |
 Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.120 | $0.84 | Sep 13, 2025 |
| Will the Fed cut-pause-pause in 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Will Joey Chestnut eat 99 nuggets?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 Fact Check: Flotilla hit by Israeli drone?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.076 | $1 | Sep 10, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.310 | $1.55 | Sep 10, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.78 | $0.180 | $1.58 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.78 | $0.410 | $3.6 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.36 | $0.220 | $0.96 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.130 | $0.85 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.020 | $0.25 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?Yes | sell | 6.51 | $0.130 | $0.85 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Joe Biden pre-debate Ambien use confirmed?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.008 | $0.09 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before September?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.030 | $0.19 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Israel x Syria security deal before September?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.027 | $0.14 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.180 | $1.08 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Oman join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 6.3 | $0.060 | $0.38 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 10.26 | $0.090 | $0.92 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.180 | $1.26 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.088 | $1.32 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser in 2025?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Israel x Syria security deal before September?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 US congress stock trading ban in 2025?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
 Paetongtarn Shinawatra out as PM of Thailand by August 31?Yes | sell | 6.94 | $0.240 | $1.67 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.085 | $1.28 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in August?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in August?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 FDA approves PTC Therapeutics’ Vatiquinone for Friedreich’s ataxia?No | sell | 2.98 | $0.150 | $0.45 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.7 | $0.330 | $0.89 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in July?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.330 | $0.87 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.090 | $0.39 | Aug 1, 2025 |