Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 16 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 171 daily closes on record from 16 Jul 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 19.5% on 17 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 30 Dec 2025. $93.07K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 171 points, 16 Jul 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2025 | 15.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Wobbly-Marionberry | Yes | 1.89K |
| 0x01BTC10 | Yes | 1.08K |
| Notable-Median | Yes | 911.13 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ahmed al-Sharaa, the President of Syria, is removed from power for any length of time between July 15,, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Al-Sharaa will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, is officially dismissed, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as leader of Syria within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ahmed-al-sharaa-out-as-leader-of-syria-in-2025
| Jensandre | Yes | 647.97 |
| Frayed-Anarchist | Yes | 328 |
| FXPz | Yes | 315.72 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 254 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 226 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 173 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 162 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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