Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 18 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 260 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 23% on 15 May 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 23% on 15 May 2025. $112.01K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 260 points, 18 Apr 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2025 | 16.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| sd2333 | Yes | 8.13K |
| khatai | Yes | 5.84K |
| InsiderPelosi | Yes | 1.4K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning sitting members of the US congress from trading stocks is signed into law by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-congress-stock-trading-ban-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| notomoro | Yes | 934.64 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 673.79 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| ZbuntowanyAniol | Yes | 425 |
| Pikapika | Yes | 399.98 |
| divideetempire | Yes | 376.94 |
| heuer | Yes | 350 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
